Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles points to a daily maximum near 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on September 10, consistent with late-summer subtropical climatology where September averages 31 °C. Light to moderate easterly flow, surface dew points near 23 °C, and scattered thunderstorm development expected during peak heating hours are likely to cap extreme values while still permitting brief periods above 30 °C. Recent observations show September 8–9 maxima of 32–33 °C under mostly clear conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes (combined 62.5 % implied probability) over higher or lower thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 10 settembre?
31°C 38%
32°C 26%
30°C 20%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
38%
32°C
26%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 26%
30°C 20%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$663 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$704 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$849 Vol.
1%
29°C
$289 Vol.
5%
30°C
$2,157 Vol.
20%
31°C
$810 Vol.
38%
32°C
$1,503 Vol.
26%
33°C
$312 Vol.
9%
34°C
$903 Vol.
4%
35°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles points to a daily maximum near 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on September 10, consistent with late-summer subtropical climatology where September averages 31 °C. Light to moderate easterly flow, surface dew points near 23 °C, and scattered thunderstorm development expected during peak heating hours are likely to cap extreme values while still permitting brief periods above 30 °C. Recent observations show September 8–9 maxima of 32–33 °C under mostly clear conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes (combined 62.5 % implied probability) over higher or lower thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,701Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles points to a daily maximum near 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on September 10, consistent with late-summer subtropical climatology where September averages 31 °C. Light to moderate easterly flow, surface dew points near 23 °C, and scattered thunderstorm development expected during peak heating hours are likely to cap extreme values while still permitting brief periods above 30 °C. Recent observations show September 8–9 maxima of 32–33 °C under mostly clear conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes (combined 62.5 % implied probability) over higher or lower thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,701Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles points to a daily maximum near 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on September 10, consistent with late-summer subtropical climatology where September averages 31 °C. Light to moderate easterly flow, surface dew points near 23 °C, and scattered thunderstorm development expected during peak heating hours are likely to cap extreme values while still permitting brief periods above 30 °C. Recent observations show September 8–9 maxima of 32–33 °C under mostly clear conditions, supporting trader emphasis on the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes (combined 62.5 % implied probability) over higher or lower thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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