A passing cold front combined with anomalously high precipitable water values (1.75–2.0 inches, above the 90th percentile) is the main driver of scattered to numerous thunderstorms across the eastern and central United States on September 11. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlights a slight risk of excessive rainfall in the Upper Ohio Valley and central Appalachians, with model consensus supporting afternoon and evening convective activity fueled by 1,000–2,000 J/kg MUCAPE. Florida and Gulf Coast areas show 50–70% storm probabilities under humid southeast flow, while cooler, drier air behind the front limits chances farther north and west. Updated short-range model runs and NWS excessive rainfall discussions expected later today represent the next key data points that could refine location-specific probabilities for this time-sensitive market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove pioverà l'11 settembre?
New York, NY
21%
Los Angeles, CA
8%
Chicago, IL
100%
Houston, TX
100%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
15%
Philadelphia, PA
21%
Denver, CO
11%
Washington, DC
72%
Atlanta, GA
52%
Miami, FL
64%
Seattle, WA
16%
Boston, MA
8%
New Orleans, LA
72%
San Francisco, CA
16%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
21%
Los Angeles, CA
8%
Chicago, IL
100%
Houston, TX
100%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
15%
Philadelphia, PA
21%
Denver, CO
11%
Washington, DC
72%
Atlanta, GA
52%
Miami, FL
64%
Seattle, WA
16%
Boston, MA
8%
New Orleans, LA
72%
San Francisco, CA
16%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRisolutore
0x65070BE91...A passing cold front combined with anomalously high precipitable water values (1.75–2.0 inches, above the 90th percentile) is the main driver of scattered to numerous thunderstorms across the eastern and central United States on September 11. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center guidance highlights a slight risk of excessive rainfall in the Upper Ohio Valley and central Appalachians, with model consensus supporting afternoon and evening convective activity fueled by 1,000–2,000 J/kg MUCAPE. Florida and Gulf Coast areas show 50–70% storm probabilities under humid southeast flow, while cooler, drier air behind the front limits chances farther north and west. Updated short-range model runs and NWS excessive rainfall discussions expected later today represent the next key data points that could refine location-specific probabilities for this time-sensitive market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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