Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including frequent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate rainfall, has kept daytime maxima in Lucknow near 31–34°C in early September 2026. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models project similar conditions for September 10, with highs around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers that limit solar heating. Historical September climatology for Lucknow shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 31–35°C range at combined implied probabilities near 90%. Shifts in steering winds or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 37°C or higher, though current ensemble consensus favors moderation. Updated IMD guidance and model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 10 settembre?
33°C 34%
34°C 25%
31°C 16%
36°C 15%
27°C o inferiore
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
16%
32°C
14%
33°C
32%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
15%
37°C o superiore
7%
33°C 34%
34°C 25%
31°C 16%
36°C 15%
27°C o inferiore
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
16%
32°C
14%
33°C
32%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
15%
37°C o superiore
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across northern India, including frequent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate rainfall, has kept daytime maxima in Lucknow near 31–34°C in early September 2026. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models project similar conditions for September 10, with highs around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 40–60% chance of showers that limit solar heating. Historical September climatology for Lucknow shows average daily maxima of 32–34°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 31–35°C range at combined implied probabilities near 90%. Shifts in steering winds or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 37°C or higher, though current ensemble consensus favors moderation. Updated IMD guidance and model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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