Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and similar models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, with northeasterly flow supporting a daily maximum in the mid-20s Celsius for September 10. Clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk favor this range, consistent with early-September climatology near 25–27°C at official stations. Trader emphasis on 25°C as the leading outcome aligns with the tight consensus across model guidance, though minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or local station measurements could adjust the exact peak within the 24–26°C band ahead of final observations. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine these probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 10 settembre?
25°C 44%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
23°C 7%
22°C o inferiore
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
28%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C o superiore
4%
25°C 44%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
23°C 7%
22°C o inferiore
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
28%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C o superiore
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from GFS and similar models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, with northeasterly flow supporting a daily maximum in the mid-20s Celsius for September 10. Clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk favor this range, consistent with early-September climatology near 25–27°C at official stations. Trader emphasis on 25°C as the leading outcome aligns with the tight consensus across model guidance, though minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or local station measurements could adjust the exact peak within the 24–26°C band ahead of final observations. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine these probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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