Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms, and a shift to northeasterly winds behind a frontal boundary that limits daytime heating and promotes radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with current observations of southerly flow giving way to cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows below seasonal averages despite lingering warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing. Updated JMA and global model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tokyo il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Tokyo il 9 settembre?
22°C 45%
23°C 15%
21°C 15%
24°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
25%
22°C
45%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 15%
21°C 15%
24°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$41 Vol.
2%
20°C
$576 Vol.
7%
21°C
$852 Vol.
25%
22°C
$316 Vol.
45%
23°C
$1,133 Vol.
15%
24°C
$315 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms, and a shift to northeasterly winds behind a frontal boundary that limits daytime heating and promotes radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with current observations of southerly flow giving way to cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows below seasonal averages despite lingering warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing. Updated JMA and global model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,363Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms, and a shift to northeasterly winds behind a frontal boundary that limits daytime heating and promotes radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with current observations of southerly flow giving way to cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows below seasonal averages despite lingering warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing. Updated JMA and global model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,363Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency points to a minimum temperature near 21–22°C in Tokyo on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms, and a shift to northeasterly winds behind a frontal boundary that limits daytime heating and promotes radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with current observations of southerly flow giving way to cooler maritime air, keeping overnight lows below seasonal averages despite lingering warmth. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble guidance around these thresholds, with limited upside risk from any late-day clearing. Updated JMA and global model runs ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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