Forecast models for Warsaw show overnight lows on September 13 ranging from roughly 9–15 °C, with ensemble spreads driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and surface radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge. Recent observations indicate a cooling trend after mid-September warmth, with light southerly winds and dew points near 10 °C favoring modest overnight drops but limiting extreme minima. European and global models diverge on the exact timing of any clearing, creating genuine uncertainty around whether the low falls near 7–8 °C or stays above 12 °C. Official verification will rely on the Warsaw Chopin Airport station minimum, with updated runs from ECMWF and GFS available overnight providing the final inputs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 13 settembre?
5°C o inferiore 48%
15°C o superiore 48%
7°C 32%
8°C 27%
5°C o inferiore
48%
6°C
9%
7°C
32%
8°C
27%
9°C
24%
10°C
13%
11°C
11%
12°C
10%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C o superiore
48%
5°C o inferiore 48%
15°C o superiore 48%
7°C 32%
8°C 27%
5°C o inferiore
48%
6°C
9%
7°C
32%
8°C
27%
9°C
24%
10°C
13%
11°C
11%
12°C
10%
13°C
14%
14°C
14%
15°C o superiore
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Warsaw show overnight lows on September 13 ranging from roughly 9–15 °C, with ensemble spreads driven by differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and surface radiative cooling under a high-pressure ridge. Recent observations indicate a cooling trend after mid-September warmth, with light southerly winds and dew points near 10 °C favoring modest overnight drops but limiting extreme minima. European and global models diverge on the exact timing of any clearing, creating genuine uncertainty around whether the low falls near 7–8 °C or stays above 12 °C. Official verification will rely on the Warsaw Chopin Airport station minimum, with updated runs from ECMWF and GFS available overnight providing the final inputs before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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