Recent numerical weather prediction model runs for Chongqing show notable spread in projected overnight minimums for September 14, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover, humidity, and light precipitation timing that modulates radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicates typical early-autumn conditions with highs near 27°C and lows around 21–22°C, yet variable steering patterns and potential thunderstorm development create realistic scenarios for both enhanced cooling below 16°C or limited overnight drops above 26°C. Traders price the closely matched 40% odds on these extremes to reflect this genuine forecast dispersion, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations. Updated model ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours could narrow the range ahead of the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 14 settembre?
16°C o inferiore 67%
26°C o superiore 67%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
16°C o inferiore
67%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C o superiore
67%
16°C o inferiore 67%
26°C o superiore 67%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
16°C o inferiore
67%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C o superiore
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model runs for Chongqing show notable spread in projected overnight minimums for September 14, driven by uncertainty in cloud cover, humidity, and light precipitation timing that modulates radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicates typical early-autumn conditions with highs near 27°C and lows around 21–22°C, yet variable steering patterns and potential thunderstorm development create realistic scenarios for both enhanced cooling below 16°C or limited overnight drops above 26°C. Traders price the closely matched 40% odds on these extremes to reflect this genuine forecast dispersion, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations. Updated model ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours could narrow the range ahead of the daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti