Traders assign equal 41% implied probability to a minimum of 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher for Kuala Lumpur on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty only two days out. Typical September nighttime lows average 24°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with radiative cooling limited by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Recent model runs indicate 23–25°C minima amid scattered thunderstorms, but shifts in overnight cloud thickness or localized rainfall could suppress or enhance cooling by 2–4°C. Historical September extremes rarely dip below 21°C or exceed 26°C, so the balanced odds capture genuine variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing rather than a strong consensus on any single threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Kuala Lumpur il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Kuala Lumpur il 14 settembre?
19°C o inferiore 82%
29°C o superiore 82%
27°C 40%
20°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
82%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C o superiore
82%
19°C o inferiore 82%
29°C o superiore 82%
27°C 40%
20°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
82%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$34 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
40%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign equal 41% implied probability to a minimum of 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher for Kuala Lumpur on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty only two days out. Typical September nighttime lows average 24°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with radiative cooling limited by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Recent model runs indicate 23–25°C minima amid scattered thunderstorms, but shifts in overnight cloud thickness or localized rainfall could suppress or enhance cooling by 2–4°C. Historical September extremes rarely dip below 21°C or exceed 26°C, so the balanced odds capture genuine variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing rather than a strong consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$34Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign equal 41% implied probability to a minimum of 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher for Kuala Lumpur on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty only two days out. Typical September nighttime lows average 24°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with radiative cooling limited by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Recent model runs indicate 23–25°C minima amid scattered thunderstorms, but shifts in overnight cloud thickness or localized rainfall could suppress or enhance cooling by 2–4°C. Historical September extremes rarely dip below 21°C or exceed 26°C, so the balanced odds capture genuine variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing rather than a strong consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign equal 41% implied probability to a minimum of 19°C or below versus 29°C or higher for Kuala Lumpur on September 14, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty only two days out. Typical September nighttime lows average 24°C under the southwest monsoon regime, with radiative cooling limited by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Recent model runs indicate 23–25°C minima amid scattered thunderstorms, but shifts in overnight cloud thickness or localized rainfall could suppress or enhance cooling by 2–4°C. Historical September extremes rarely dip below 21°C or exceed 26°C, so the balanced odds capture genuine variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing rather than a strong consensus on any single threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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