Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover over Tokyo through September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Light rain or drizzle expected during the afternoon further reduces surface temperatures below seasonal norms near 27°C. Small differences in cloud thickness, wind timing, and any brief clearing windows create genuine uncertainty among 23–26°C outcomes, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting traders’ assessment of these variables. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 18 settembre?
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
16%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
19%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C o superiore
4%
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$53 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover over Tokyo through September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Light rain or drizzle expected during the afternoon further reduces surface temperatures below seasonal norms near 27°C. Small differences in cloud thickness, wind timing, and any brief clearing windows create genuine uncertainty among 23–26°C outcomes, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting traders’ assessment of these variables. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$53Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover over Tokyo through September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Light rain or drizzle expected during the afternoon further reduces surface temperatures below seasonal norms near 27°C. Small differences in cloud thickness, wind timing, and any brief clearing windows create genuine uncertainty among 23–26°C outcomes, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting traders’ assessment of these variables. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency show persistent northerly flow and extensive cloud cover over Tokyo through September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Light rain or drizzle expected during the afternoon further reduces surface temperatures below seasonal norms near 27°C. Small differences in cloud thickness, wind timing, and any brief clearing windows create genuine uncertainty among 23–26°C outcomes, with the closely matched market-implied odds reflecting traders’ assessment of these variables. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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