Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
62% probabilità
$89,034 Vol.
$89,034 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Sì
62% probabilità
$89,034 Vol.
$89,034 Vol.
20 gen 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,034Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,034Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House has so far prevented advancement of multiple Democratic-introduced articles of impeachment, including resolutions citing obstruction, appropriations issues, and foreign policy actions tied to the 2026 Iran developments. Trader consensus at 62 percent for impeachment before term end centers on November 2026 midterm results, where polls favor Democratic gains sufficient to flip the chamber and enable a floor vote. Trump has publicly linked his impeachment risk to Republican midterm losses, while Democrats have signaled investigations and possible articles as priorities if they regain the majority. Historical patterns show that unified opposition control of the House reliably produces impeachment proceedings against a president of the other party, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti