Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
$68,573 Vol.
$68,573 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Sì
$68,573 Vol.
$68,573 Vol.
20 gen 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$68,573Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$68,573Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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