Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by Democratic lawmakers' abrupt revival of articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 7, citing Trump's threats to "wipe out" Iran's civilization and usurpation of congressional war powers. Over 70 Democrats have joined calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, though the Republican-controlled House Rules Committee rejected advancing one resolution 8-8 along party lines on April 15. Historical precedents of Trump's two prior impeachments, potential moderate GOP defections, and 2026 midterms loom as key risks, despite counter-developments like DNI Tulsi Gabbard's criminal referral of the 2019 impeachment whistleblower to DOJ. Senate votes on curbing presidential war powers could further influence dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
$52,566 Vol.
$52,566 Vol.
20 gen 2029
Sì
$52,566 Vol.
$52,566 Vol.
20 gen 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by Democratic lawmakers' abrupt revival of articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 7, citing Trump's threats to "wipe out" Iran's civilization and usurpation of congressional war powers. Over 70 Democrats have joined calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, though the Republican-controlled House Rules Committee rejected advancing one resolution 8-8 along party lines on April 15. Historical precedents of Trump's two prior impeachments, potential moderate GOP defections, and 2026 midterms loom as key risks, despite counter-developments like DNI Tulsi Gabbard's criminal referral of the 2019 impeachment whistleblower to DOJ. Senate votes on curbing presidential war powers could further influence dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$52,566Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by Democratic lawmakers' abrupt revival of articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 7, citing Trump's threats to "wipe out" Iran's civilization and usurpation of congressional war powers. Over 70 Democrats have joined calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, though the Republican-controlled House Rules Committee rejected advancing one resolution 8-8 along party lines on April 15. Historical precedents of Trump's two prior impeachments, potential moderate GOP defections, and 2026 midterms loom as key risks, despite counter-developments like DNI Tulsi Gabbard's criminal referral of the 2019 impeachment whistleblower to DOJ. Senate votes on curbing presidential war powers could further influence dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$52,566Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for House impeachment of President Trump before January 20, 2029, driven primarily by Democratic lawmakers' abrupt revival of articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 7, citing Trump's threats to "wipe out" Iran's civilization and usurpation of congressional war powers. Over 70 Democrats have joined calls for impeachment or 25th Amendment invocation amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, though the Republican-controlled House Rules Committee rejected advancing one resolution 8-8 along party lines on April 15. Historical precedents of Trump's two prior impeachments, potential moderate GOP defections, and 2026 midterms loom as key risks, despite counter-developments like DNI Tulsi Gabbard's criminal referral of the 2019 impeachment whistleblower to DOJ. Senate votes on curbing presidential war powers could further influence dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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