Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 remains the dominant barrier, with the current narrow GOP majority showing no inclination to advance articles of impeachment despite Democratic resolutions introduced in 2025 and 2026. Midterm elections in November fall too late to shift chamber control before the December 31 deadline, and historical patterns show unified party opposition to removing a president of the same party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus. Traders price the slim 1.8% chance of a “Yes” outcome around the remote possibility of a late-session scandal or procedural surprise forcing floor action, though recent court rulings and policy disputes have not altered congressional arithmetic enough to change positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
2% probabilità
$1,020,770 Vol.
$1,020,770 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
2% probabilità
$1,020,770 Vol.
$1,020,770 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 remains the dominant barrier, with the current narrow GOP majority showing no inclination to advance articles of impeachment despite Democratic resolutions introduced in 2025 and 2026. Midterm elections in November fall too late to shift chamber control before the December 31 deadline, and historical patterns show unified party opposition to removing a president of the same party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus. Traders price the slim 1.8% chance of a “Yes” outcome around the remote possibility of a late-session scandal or procedural surprise forcing floor action, though recent court rulings and policy disputes have not altered congressional arithmetic enough to change positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,020,770Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 remains the dominant barrier, with the current narrow GOP majority showing no inclination to advance articles of impeachment despite Democratic resolutions introduced in 2025 and 2026. Midterm elections in November fall too late to shift chamber control before the December 31 deadline, and historical patterns show unified party opposition to removing a president of the same party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus. Traders price the slim 1.8% chance of a “Yes” outcome around the remote possibility of a late-session scandal or procedural surprise forcing floor action, though recent court rulings and policy disputes have not altered congressional arithmetic enough to change positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$1,020,770Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETRisolutore
0x157Ce2d67...Republican control of the House through the end of 2026 remains the dominant barrier, with the current narrow GOP majority showing no inclination to advance articles of impeachment despite Democratic resolutions introduced in 2025 and 2026. Midterm elections in November fall too late to shift chamber control before the December 31 deadline, and historical patterns show unified party opposition to removing a president of the same party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus. Traders price the slim 1.8% chance of a “Yes” outcome around the remote possibility of a late-session scandal or procedural surprise forcing floor action, though recent court rulings and policy disputes have not altered congressional arithmetic enough to change positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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