Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with net ratings near -19 to -20, reflecting sustained public discontent over economic conditions and the ongoing Iran conflict. Higher gas prices linked to military actions, combined with tariff policies and broader cost-of-living pressures, have weighed on ratings across multiple surveys conducted through early September. With only days until the September 18 measurement and no major scheduled events or data releases imminent, trader consensus clusters tightly in the 37.5–38.9 range as short-term volatility remains limited. Fresh economic indicators, diplomatic statements on Iran, or late-breaking polling shifts could still nudge the final figure outside these bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,0–38,4 37%
37,5–37,9 27%
38,5–38,9 26%
37,0–37,4 8%
<37,0
5%
37,0–37,4
8%
37,5–37,9
27%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
26%
39,0+
5%
38,0–38,4 37%
37,5–37,9 27%
38,5–38,9 26%
37,0–37,4 8%
<37,0
5%
37,0–37,4
8%
37,5–37,9
27%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
26%
39,0+
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with net ratings near -19 to -20, reflecting sustained public discontent over economic conditions and the ongoing Iran conflict. Higher gas prices linked to military actions, combined with tariff policies and broader cost-of-living pressures, have weighed on ratings across multiple surveys conducted through early September. With only days until the September 18 measurement and no major scheduled events or data releases imminent, trader consensus clusters tightly in the 37.5–38.9 range as short-term volatility remains limited. Fresh economic indicators, diplomatic statements on Iran, or late-breaking polling shifts could still nudge the final figure outside these bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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