Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, arrested by U.S. personnel in early January 2026 and now detained in New York, pleaded not guilty to multiple narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and related charges from a 2020 Southern District indictment. On March 26, 2026, federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss the case amid disputes over using Venezuelan funds for legal fees and arguments that U.S. sanctions tainted the prosecution. Trader consensus at 77.5% for "No" reflects the pre-trial phase, Maduro's vigorous defenses claiming procedural unfairness, and the narcoterrorism statute's limited track record—only 31 guilty pleas among 83 charged—suggesting acquittal or partial convictions remain probable despite strong U.S. evidence. Trial proceedings continue without a scheduled date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$101,244 Vol.
$101,244 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sì
$101,244 Vol.
$101,244 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, arrested by U.S. personnel in early January 2026 and now detained in New York, pleaded not guilty to multiple narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and related charges from a 2020 Southern District indictment. On March 26, 2026, federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss the case amid disputes over using Venezuelan funds for legal fees and arguments that U.S. sanctions tainted the prosecution. Trader consensus at 77.5% for "No" reflects the pre-trial phase, Maduro's vigorous defenses claiming procedural unfairness, and the narcoterrorism statute's limited track record—only 31 guilty pleas among 83 charged—suggesting acquittal or partial convictions remain probable despite strong U.S. evidence. Trial proceedings continue without a scheduled date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$101,244Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, arrested by U.S. personnel in early January 2026 and now detained in New York, pleaded not guilty to multiple narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and related charges from a 2020 Southern District indictment. On March 26, 2026, federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss the case amid disputes over using Venezuelan funds for legal fees and arguments that U.S. sanctions tainted the prosecution. Trader consensus at 77.5% for "No" reflects the pre-trial phase, Maduro's vigorous defenses claiming procedural unfairness, and the narcoterrorism statute's limited track record—only 31 guilty pleas among 83 charged—suggesting acquittal or partial convictions remain probable despite strong U.S. evidence. Trial proceedings continue without a scheduled date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$101,244Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, arrested by U.S. personnel in early January 2026 and now detained in New York, pleaded not guilty to multiple narcoterrorism conspiracy, drug trafficking, and related charges from a 2020 Southern District indictment. On March 26, 2026, federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein rejected defense motions to dismiss the case amid disputes over using Venezuelan funds for legal fees and arguments that U.S. sanctions tainted the prosecution. Trader consensus at 77.5% for "No" reflects the pre-trial phase, Maduro's vigorous defenses claiming procedural unfairness, and the narcoterrorism statute's limited track record—only 31 guilty pleas among 83 charged—suggesting acquittal or partial convictions remain probable despite strong U.S. evidence. Trial proceedings continue without a scheduled date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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