Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores face multiple U.S. federal charges in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged long-running drug trafficking activities. Both entered not guilty pleas after their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation. A June 2027 trial date has been set, giving the defense time to pursue dismissal arguments based on head-of-state immunity and other procedural challenges. Traders assign a 70% probability to a "No" outcome on conviction for every count, reflecting the extended timeline before any verdict, the high evidentiary threshold for proving all elements across several distinct charges, historical patterns in complex conspiracy prosecutions, and the possibility of partial acquittals, plea resolutions, or legal setbacks before the case reaches a jury.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
30% probabilità
$132,699 Vol.
$132,699 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sì
30% probabilità
$132,699 Vol.
$132,699 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores face multiple U.S. federal charges in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged long-running drug trafficking activities. Both entered not guilty pleas after their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation. A June 2027 trial date has been set, giving the defense time to pursue dismissal arguments based on head-of-state immunity and other procedural challenges. Traders assign a 70% probability to a "No" outcome on conviction for every count, reflecting the extended timeline before any verdict, the high evidentiary threshold for proving all elements across several distinct charges, historical patterns in complex conspiracy prosecutions, and the possibility of partial acquittals, plea resolutions, or legal setbacks before the case reaches a jury.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$132,699Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores face multiple U.S. federal charges in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged long-running drug trafficking activities. Both entered not guilty pleas after their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation. A June 2027 trial date has been set, giving the defense time to pursue dismissal arguments based on head-of-state immunity and other procedural challenges. Traders assign a 70% probability to a "No" outcome on conviction for every count, reflecting the extended timeline before any verdict, the high evidentiary threshold for proving all elements across several distinct charges, historical patterns in complex conspiracy prosecutions, and the possibility of partial acquittals, plea resolutions, or legal setbacks before the case reaches a jury.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$132,699Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores face multiple U.S. federal charges in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses tied to alleged long-running drug trafficking activities. Both entered not guilty pleas after their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation. A June 2027 trial date has been set, giving the defense time to pursue dismissal arguments based on head-of-state immunity and other procedural challenges. Traders assign a 70% probability to a "No" outcome on conviction for every count, reflecting the extended timeline before any verdict, the high evidentiary threshold for proving all elements across several distinct charges, historical patterns in complex conspiracy prosecutions, and the possibility of partial acquittals, plea resolutions, or legal setbacks before the case reaches a jury.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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