Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured him and his wife Cilia Flores during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas. He faces charges including narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking conspiracy in the Southern District of New York, where he and Flores have pleaded not guilty without seeking bail. Pretrial hearings continue, with a potential trial date referenced for mid-2027, amid Venezuelan interim government demands for his release, diplomatic tensions, and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings. Key factors influencing trader assessments include the pace of court rulings on jurisdiction and extradition claims, any plea negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy, or broader diplomatic resolutions that could alter custody status before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2,687,782 Vol.
31 gen 2026
31 dicembre
7%
$2,687,782 Vol.
31 dicembre
$292,333 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured him and his wife Cilia Flores during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas. He faces charges including narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking conspiracy in the Southern District of New York, where he and Flores have pleaded not guilty without seeking bail. Pretrial hearings continue, with a potential trial date referenced for mid-2027, amid Venezuelan interim government demands for his release, diplomatic tensions, and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings. Key factors influencing trader assessments include the pace of court rulings on jurisdiction and extradition claims, any plea negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy, or broader diplomatic resolutions that could alter custody status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,687,782Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured him and his wife Cilia Flores during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas. He faces charges including narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking conspiracy in the Southern District of New York, where he and Flores have pleaded not guilty without seeking bail. Pretrial hearings continue, with a potential trial date referenced for mid-2027, amid Venezuelan interim government demands for his release, diplomatic tensions, and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings. Key factors influencing trader assessments include the pace of court rulings on jurisdiction and extradition claims, any plea negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy, or broader diplomatic resolutions that could alter custody status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,687,782Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since U.S. forces captured him and his wife Cilia Flores during a January 3, 2026, military operation in Caracas. He faces charges including narco-terrorism and cocaine trafficking conspiracy in the Southern District of New York, where he and Flores have pleaded not guilty without seeking bail. Pretrial hearings continue, with a potential trial date referenced for mid-2027, amid Venezuelan interim government demands for his release, diplomatic tensions, and ongoing U.S. legal proceedings. Key factors influencing trader assessments include the pace of court rulings on jurisdiction and extradition claims, any plea negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy, or broader diplomatic resolutions that could alter custody status before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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