Cilia Flores remains in pretrial federal detention in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York and have pleaded not guilty, with a joint trial set for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking home confinement in Manhattan, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain, arrhythmias, significant weight loss, and lack of access to required monthly treatment while in custody. Prosecutors oppose release, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has scheduled an October 8 hearing on the request while also addressing related motions, including Maduro’s sovereign immunity claim. These health and procedural developments, along with the extended pretrial timeline, represent the primary factors shaping trader assessments of release probability by specific deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa moglie di Maduro, Cilia Flores, è stata rilasciata dalla custodia da...?
La moglie di Maduro, Cilia Flores, è stata rilasciata dalla custodia da...?
$1,379,461 Vol.
30 gen 2026
31 dicembre
16%
$1,379,461 Vol.
31 dicembre
$332,860 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in pretrial federal detention in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York and have pleaded not guilty, with a joint trial set for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking home confinement in Manhattan, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain, arrhythmias, significant weight loss, and lack of access to required monthly treatment while in custody. Prosecutors oppose release, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has scheduled an October 8 hearing on the request while also addressing related motions, including Maduro’s sovereign immunity claim. These health and procedural developments, along with the extended pretrial timeline, represent the primary factors shaping trader assessments of release probability by specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,379,461Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in pretrial federal detention in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York and have pleaded not guilty, with a joint trial set for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking home confinement in Manhattan, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain, arrhythmias, significant weight loss, and lack of access to required monthly treatment while in custody. Prosecutors oppose release, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has scheduled an October 8 hearing on the request while also addressing related motions, including Maduro’s sovereign immunity claim. These health and procedural developments, along with the extended pretrial timeline, represent the primary factors shaping trader assessments of release probability by specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,379,461Data di fine
31 gen 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070be91...Cilia Flores remains in pretrial federal detention in Brooklyn alongside Nicolás Maduro following their January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York and have pleaded not guilty, with a joint trial set for June 2027. On September 10, 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking home confinement in Manhattan, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including chest pain, arrhythmias, significant weight loss, and lack of access to required monthly treatment while in custody. Prosecutors oppose release, and U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein has scheduled an October 8 hearing on the request while also addressing related motions, including Maduro’s sovereign immunity claim. These health and procedural developments, along with the extended pretrial timeline, represent the primary factors shaping trader assessments of release probability by specific deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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