Trader consensus reflects an 85.5% implied probability against any Brazil STF justice facing removal by impeachment before 2027, anchored by stringent constitutional requirements: Senate President admission of petitions followed by two-thirds approval from 81 senators. Despite accumulating over 70 impeachment requests targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes—leading the list—and a final Organized Crime CPI report in early April 2026 recommending processes against Moraes, Dias Toffoli, and Gilmar Mendes over alleged irregularities in Banco Master fraud probes, no petitions have progressed beyond filing. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's historical reluctance to advance such measures, amid government alliances and congressional gridlock, sustains the low likelihood despite opposition rhetoric.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$59,200 Vol.
$59,200 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$59,200 Vol.
$59,200 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 85.5% implied probability against any Brazil STF justice facing removal by impeachment before 2027, anchored by stringent constitutional requirements: Senate President admission of petitions followed by two-thirds approval from 81 senators. Despite accumulating over 70 impeachment requests targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes—leading the list—and a final Organized Crime CPI report in early April 2026 recommending processes against Moraes, Dias Toffoli, and Gilmar Mendes over alleged irregularities in Banco Master fraud probes, no petitions have progressed beyond filing. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's historical reluctance to advance such measures, amid government alliances and congressional gridlock, sustains the low likelihood despite opposition rhetoric.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$59,200Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 85.5% implied probability against any Brazil STF justice facing removal by impeachment before 2027, anchored by stringent constitutional requirements: Senate President admission of petitions followed by two-thirds approval from 81 senators. Despite accumulating over 70 impeachment requests targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes—leading the list—and a final Organized Crime CPI report in early April 2026 recommending processes against Moraes, Dias Toffoli, and Gilmar Mendes over alleged irregularities in Banco Master fraud probes, no petitions have progressed beyond filing. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's historical reluctance to advance such measures, amid government alliances and congressional gridlock, sustains the low likelihood despite opposition rhetoric.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,200Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 85.5% implied probability against any Brazil STF justice facing removal by impeachment before 2027, anchored by stringent constitutional requirements: Senate President admission of petitions followed by two-thirds approval from 81 senators. Despite accumulating over 70 impeachment requests targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes—leading the list—and a final Organized Crime CPI report in early April 2026 recommending processes against Moraes, Dias Toffoli, and Gilmar Mendes over alleged irregularities in Banco Master fraud probes, no petitions have progressed beyond filing. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre's historical reluctance to advance such measures, amid government alliances and congressional gridlock, sustains the low likelihood despite opposition rhetoric.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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