Recent developments in the active federal case against former FBI Director James Comey, stemming from his 2025 Instagram post, center on a May 2026 prosecutor withdrawal and reassignment, followed by Comey’s deadline to file dismissal motions by late July. The April 2026 indictment on threat-related counts remains in pre-trial stages, with any trial scheduled after the July 31 cutoff and no Department of Justice filing indicating immediate nolle prosequi or dismissal. Prior related charges were dismissed in late 2025 on appointment grounds but faced appeal, illustrating procedural timelines that typically extend beyond weeks. Trader consensus at 89.5% for “No” aligns with these scheduling realities and the absence of rapid resolution signals.