Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows a fragmented field for Acre's two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP), Márcio Bittar (PL), and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads in first- and second-preference scenarios while others trail. This fragmentation sustains tight implied probabilities around second place, as no candidate has consolidated a durable advantage ahead of the October 4 vote. Incumbency advantages for Bittar and Petecão, Cameli's gubernatorial profile, and Viana's PT alignment create competing bases without decisive separation. Ongoing campaign events, party alliances, and any late shifts in voter turnout or undecided shares could reorder placements before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJorge Viana 47%
Gladson Camelí 45%
Eduardo Velloso 44%
Petecão 44%

Jorge Viana
47%

Gladson Camelí
45%

Eduardo Velloso
44%

Petecão
44%

Mara Rocha
44%

Marcio Bittar
43%

Professor Inacio Moreira
43%

Dr. Junior Feitosa
43%
Jorge Viana 47%
Gladson Camelí 45%
Eduardo Velloso 44%
Petecão 44%

Jorge Viana
47%

Gladson Camelí
45%

Eduardo Velloso
44%

Petecão
44%

Mara Rocha
44%

Marcio Bittar
43%

Professor Inacio Moreira
43%

Dr. Junior Feitosa
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July and early August 2026 shows a fragmented field for Acre's two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP), Márcio Bittar (PL), and Jorge Viana (PT) trading narrow leads in first- and second-preference scenarios while others trail. This fragmentation sustains tight implied probabilities around second place, as no candidate has consolidated a durable advantage ahead of the October 4 vote. Incumbency advantages for Bittar and Petecão, Cameli's gubernatorial profile, and Viana's PT alignment create competing bases without decisive separation. Ongoing campaign events, party alliances, and any late shifts in voter turnout or undecided shares could reorder placements before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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