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Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte

Allyson 66%

Cadu de Lula 31%

Álvaro Dias 7%

Professor Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Allyson 66%

Cadu de Lula 31%

Álvaro Dias 7%

Professor Roberio Paulino <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Allyson

Allyson

$3,456 Vol.

66%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$1,846 Vol.

31%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$1,000 Vol.

7%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$625 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$576 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$468 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$491 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$553 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) holds the leading position in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to his formal party launch in July, resignation as Mossoró mayor to focus on the campaign, and formation of a broad coalition that includes MDB, PSD, and other parties. Recent August polling shows him ahead at around 39% in the first round, ahead of PT candidate Cadu Xavier (positioned as successor to incumbent Fátima Bezerra) and PL’s Álvaro Dias. Traders assign Allyson the highest implied probability, reflecting his territorial outreach, local name recognition, and positioning as an opposition alternative without strong national alignments. Cadu’s lower share aligns with polls indicating weaker current support despite PT’s state governance record since 2019, while minor candidates remain marginal. The October election timeline and any late coalition shifts or additional polling could still influence final outcomes.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,494
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) holds the leading position in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race due to his formal party launch in July, resignation as Mossoró mayor to focus on the campaign, and formation of a broad coalition that includes MDB, PSD, and other parties. Recent August polling shows him ahead at around 39% in the first round, ahead of PT candidate Cadu Xavier (positioned as successor to incumbent Fátima Bezerra) and PL’s Álvaro Dias. Traders assign Allyson the highest implied probability, reflecting his territorial outreach, local name recognition, and positioning as an opposition alternative without strong national alignments. Cadu’s lower share aligns with polls indicating weaker current support despite PT’s state governance record since 2019, while minor candidates remain marginal. The October election timeline and any late coalition shifts or additional polling could still influence final outcomes.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$9,494
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Allyson" a 66%, seguito da "Cadu de Lula" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 66¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 66% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte" è "Allyson" a 66%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 66% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Cadu de Lula" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Rio Grande do Norte" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.