Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRodney Miranda 46%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Professor Fabian 43%
Renato Casagrande 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Rodney Miranda
46%
Sergio Meneguelli
44%
Professor Fabian
43%
Renato Casagrande
43%
Rose de Freitas
43%
Marcos do Val
43%
Evair de Melo
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
42%
Maguinha Malta
42%
Callegari
41%
Fabiano Contarato
37%
Rodney Miranda 46%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
Professor Fabian 43%
Renato Casagrande 43%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Rodney Miranda
$0 Vol.
46%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Professor Fabian
$0 Vol.
43%
Renato Casagrande
$0 Vol.
43%
Rose de Freitas
$0 Vol.
43%
Marcos do Val
$0 Vol.
43%
Evair de Melo
$0 Vol.
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 Vol.
42%
Maguinha Malta
$0 Vol.
42%
Callegari
$0 Vol.
41%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 Vol.
37%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows ex-governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading Senate intentions in Espírito Santo with 24-35%, leaving a fragmented contest for second among Rose de Freitas (MDB), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and others. High undecided shares near 70% in spontaneous responses, combined with 11 registered candidates and shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, sustain tight implied probabilities around 40-50% for the leading second-place options. Late-campaign factors such as party ticket consolidations, targeted regional outreach in key municipalities, turnout differentials, and any high-profile endorsements or debates could consolidate support behind one contender and separate the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Renato Casagrande otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato dell'Espírito Santo nel 2026?
46%
Sì
Marcio Alves otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato di San Paolo del 2026?
39%
Sì
Il Professor Guilherme Amorim otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?
28%
Sì
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