The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProfessor Fabian 44%
Renato Casagrande 44%
Rose de Freitas 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Professor Fabian
44%
Renato Casagrande
44%
Rose de Freitas
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
44%
Rodney Miranda
44%
Callegari
44%
Maguinha Malta
42%
Marcos do Val
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
41%
Evair de Melo
41%
Fabiano Contarato
41%
Professor Fabian 44%
Renato Casagrande 44%
Rose de Freitas 44%
Sergio Meneguelli 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Professor Fabian
$0 Vol.
44%
Renato Casagrande
$0 Vol.
44%
Rose de Freitas
$0 Vol.
44%
Sergio Meneguelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Rodney Miranda
$0 Vol.
44%
Callegari
$0 Vol.
44%
Maguinha Malta
$0 Vol.
42%
Marcos do Val
$0 Vol.
42%
Leonardo Monjardim
$0 Vol.
41%
Evair de Melo
$0 Vol.
41%
Fabiano Contarato
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race features an unusually crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates competing for two seats in the October 2026 election, with no single contender yet establishing a dominant position in trader assessments. Recent July polling showed former governor Renato Casagrande (PSB) ahead at 24-35 percent, well clear of incumbents Fabiano Contarato and Marcos do Val along with names such as Rose de Freitas, Sergio Meneguelli, and Maguinha Malta, yet the market’s tightly clustered probabilities reflect the long timeline until voting, limited name recognition for many challengers, and potential for shifts driven by alliances, campaign spending, or late endorsements. Incumbency advantages for sitting senators and the two-seat structure further fragment first-place expectations, leaving room for any of several viable contenders to surge if polling trends consolidate or key party coalitions solidify before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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