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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama
Politica·Giappone

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama
Politica·Giappone

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama

Atsumi Harasawa 52%

Yuka Asaka 37%

Kazuma Nakatani 20%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Atsumi Harasawa 52%

Yuka Asaka 37%

Kazuma Nakatani 20%

Atsushi Fukuyama 11%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Atsumi Harasawa

Atsumi Harasawa

$513 Vol.

52%

icon for Yuka Asaka

Yuka Asaka

$114 Vol.

37%

icon for Kazuma Nakatani

Kazuma Nakatani

$70 Vol.

20%

icon for Atsushi Fukuyama

Atsushi Fukuyama

$98 Vol.

11%

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The sudden resignation of incumbent Takeharu Yamanaka amid confirmed workplace harassment findings has produced a fragmented field for the October 18 Yokohama mayoral vote, with campaigning set to begin October 4. Lawyer Atsumi Harasawa, backed by the Liberal Democratic Party and business groups, leads implied probabilities at 34.5% on governance and compliance credentials. Former lawmaker Kazuma Nakatani, supported by the Constitutional Democratic Party’s Kanagawa chapter, sits at 19.5% after emphasizing an anti-casino ordinance to block integrated resort bids. Communist Party candidate Yuka Asaka and executive Atsushi Fukuyama trail at 11.0% and 10.5%. The tight spread reflects divided party alignments, competing policy priorities on municipal reform and development, and limited time for any contender to consolidate support ahead of the short official campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$780
Data di fine
18 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47de9d...
The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The sudden resignation of incumbent Takeharu Yamanaka amid confirmed workplace harassment findings has produced a fragmented field for the October 18 Yokohama mayoral vote, with campaigning set to begin October 4. Lawyer Atsumi Harasawa, backed by the Liberal Democratic Party and business groups, leads implied probabilities at 34.5% on governance and compliance credentials. Former lawmaker Kazuma Nakatani, supported by the Constitutional Democratic Party’s Kanagawa chapter, sits at 19.5% after emphasizing an anti-casino ordinance to block integrated resort bids. Communist Party candidate Yuka Asaka and executive Atsushi Fukuyama trail at 11.0% and 10.5%. The tight spread reflects divided party alignments, competing policy priorities on municipal reform and development, and limited time for any contender to consolidate support ahead of the short official campaign window.

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Yokohama City Election Administration Commission (https://www.city.yokohama.lg.jp/).
Volume
$780
Data di fine
18 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 10:08 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47de9d...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Yuka Asaka" a 64%, seguito da "Atsumi Harasawa" a 63%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 64¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 64% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 23, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama" è "Yuka Asaka" a 64%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 64% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Atsumi Harasawa" a 63%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Yokohama" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.