The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, encompassing portions of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% odds. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic primary with nearly 87% of the vote on June 23, 2026, while Republican Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and prior results such as Kamala Harris’s 27.5-point margin in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area further reinforce the positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
$48,040 Vol.
$48,040 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$48,040 Vol.
$48,040 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$29,905 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$18,134 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, encompassing portions of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% odds. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic primary with nearly 87% of the vote on June 23, 2026, while Republican Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and prior results such as Kamala Harris’s 27.5-point margin in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area further reinforce the positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$48,040Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, encompassing portions of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% odds. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic primary with nearly 87% of the vote on June 23, 2026, while Republican Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and prior results such as Kamala Harris’s 27.5-point margin in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area further reinforce the positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,040Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New York’s 14th congressional district, encompassing portions of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% odds. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic primary with nearly 87% of the vote on June 23, 2026, while Republican Diamant Hysenaj advanced unopposed. Multiple forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and prior results such as Kamala Harris’s 27.5-point margin in 2024. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the area further reinforce the positioning. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would be required to meaningfully shift probabilities before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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