New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only low-profile challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary and a nominal Republican opponent in the November general, preserving the party’s structural advantage rooted in the district’s urban, majority-Hispanic demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan baseline, historical turnout data, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unprecedented event such as the incumbent’s withdrawal or a major scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout, neither of which appears imminent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$28,262 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only low-profile challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary and a nominal Republican opponent in the November general, preserving the party’s structural advantage rooted in the district’s urban, majority-Hispanic demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan baseline, historical turnout data, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unprecedented event such as the incumbent’s withdrawal or a major scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout, neither of which appears imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,424Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only low-profile challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary and a nominal Republican opponent in the November general, preserving the party’s structural advantage rooted in the district’s urban, majority-Hispanic demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan baseline, historical turnout data, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unprecedented event such as the incumbent’s withdrawal or a major scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout, neither of which appears imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,424Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 14th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+19 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only low-profile challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary and a nominal Republican opponent in the November general, preserving the party’s structural advantage rooted in the district’s urban, majority-Hispanic demographics and voting patterns. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan baseline, historical turnout data, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district’s electoral math. A credible challenge would require an unprecedented event such as the incumbent’s withdrawal or a major scandal capable of depressing Democratic turnout, neither of which appears imminent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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