Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding areas, carries a Democratic-leaning partisan voter index and has trended toward the party in recent cycles. Scholten secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s fundraising edge, established name recognition, and the district’s fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late national shifts, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
$20,847 Vol.
$20,847 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$20,847 Vol.
$20,847 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$16,145 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$4,702 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding areas, carries a Democratic-leaning partisan voter index and has trended toward the party in recent cycles. Scholten secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s fundraising edge, established name recognition, and the district’s fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late national shifts, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$20,847Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding areas, carries a Democratic-leaning partisan voter index and has trended toward the party in recent cycles. Scholten secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s fundraising edge, established name recognition, and the district’s fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late national shifts, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,847Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding areas, carries a Democratic-leaning partisan voter index and has trended toward the party in recent cycles. Scholten secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Scholten’s fundraising edge, established name recognition, and the district’s fundamentals. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural advantages. Late national shifts, turnout surprises, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti