Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, which includes Grand Rapids and parts of Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties, carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has trended Democratic since 2016. Scholten won reelection in 2024 by roughly ten points after flipping the seat in 2022, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. She faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from the August 4 primary. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate vulnerabilities, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s fundamentals and historical margins limit the realistic scope for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
$20,847 Vol.
$20,847 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$20,847 Vol.
$20,847 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$16,145 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$4,702 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, which includes Grand Rapids and parts of Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties, carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has trended Democratic since 2016. Scholten won reelection in 2024 by roughly ten points after flipping the seat in 2022, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. She faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from the August 4 primary. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate vulnerabilities, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s fundamentals and historical margins limit the realistic scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$20,847Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, which includes Grand Rapids and parts of Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties, carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has trended Democratic since 2016. Scholten won reelection in 2024 by roughly ten points after flipping the seat in 2022, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. She faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from the August 4 primary. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate vulnerabilities, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s fundamentals and historical margins limit the realistic scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,847Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The western Michigan seat, which includes Grand Rapids and parts of Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties, carries a D+4 partisan voter index and has trended Democratic since 2016. Scholten won reelection in 2024 by roughly ten points after flipping the seat in 2022, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic. She faced no primary opposition, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer emerged from the August 4 primary. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate vulnerabilities, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the district’s fundamentals and historical margins limit the realistic scope for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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