Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-01
$21,551 Vol.
$21,551 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
92%
Partito Democratico
9%
$21,551 Vol.
$21,551 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$11,419 Vol.
92%
Partito Democratico
$10,132 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$21,551Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,551Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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