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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend
Politica·Elezioni Negli Stati Uniti

Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend

Polymarket
NUOVO
Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for James Talarico (D)

James Talarico (D)

$100 Vol.

92%

icon for Ken Paxton (R)

Ken Paxton (R)

$49 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability among traders to win Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate contest, reflecting the county’s diverse suburban electorate and recent Democratic gains in the Houston metro area. Talarico’s primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and polling strength among Hispanic voters and independents have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election against Ken Paxton. Statewide polls show a much tighter race, underscoring how local demographics can diverge from broader trends. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or shifts in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still alter the county outcome before election day.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
Volume
$149
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability among traders to win Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate contest, reflecting the county’s diverse suburban electorate and recent Democratic gains in the Houston metro area. Talarico’s primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and polling strength among Hispanic voters and independents have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election against Ken Paxton. Statewide polls show a much tighter race, underscoring how local demographics can diverge from broader trends. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or shifts in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still alter the county outcome before election day.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
Volume
$149
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.

Correlati

icon for I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Tarrant nella corsa al Senato del Texas nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Tarrant nella corsa al Senato del Texas nel 2026?

90%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Collin nella corsa al Senato del Texas nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno la contea di Collin nella corsa al Senato del Texas nel 2026?

78%
Sì
icon for I Democratici vinceranno nella contea di Broward alle elezioni per il Senato della Florida nel 2026?

I Democratici vinceranno nella contea di Broward alle elezioni per il Senato della Florida nel 2026?

94%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "James Talarico (D)" a 92%, seguito da "Ken Paxton (R)" a 7%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 92¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 92% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 1, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend" è "James Talarico (D)" a 92%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 92% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ken Paxton (R)" a 7%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Texas: vincitore della contea di Fort Bend" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.