Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Republican since 1994. Pingree, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed through the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew. Republican nominee Ronald C. Russell, a military veteran who lost to Pingree by more than 20 points in 2024, won his primary by a narrow margin but faces the same structural headwinds. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s consistent Democratic lean make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera ME-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera ME-01
$45,006 Vol.
$45,006 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$45,006 Vol.
$45,006 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$30,105 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$14,900 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Republican since 1994. Pingree, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed through the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew. Republican nominee Ronald C. Russell, a military veteran who lost to Pingree by more than 20 points in 2024, won his primary by a narrow margin but faces the same structural headwinds. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s consistent Democratic lean make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,006Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Republican since 1994. Pingree, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed through the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew. Republican nominee Ronald C. Russell, a military veteran who lost to Pingree by more than 20 points in 2024, won his primary by a narrow margin but faces the same structural headwinds. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s consistent Democratic lean make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,006Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Republican since 1994. Pingree, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed through the June 9, 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew. Republican nominee Ronald C. Russell, a military veteran who lost to Pingree by more than 20 points in 2024, won his primary by a narrow margin but faces the same structural headwinds. Forecasters from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district’s consistent Democratic lean make such shifts unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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