Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5 percent for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s Fort Wayne-centered seat has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman’s 65 percent share in 2024, while Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson faces limited fundraising and name recognition against structural headwinds. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIN-03 House Election Winner
IN-03 House Election Winner
$23,987 Vol.
$23,987 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
5%
$23,987 Vol.
$23,987 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,661 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$19,326 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5 percent for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s Fort Wayne-centered seat has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman’s 65 percent share in 2024, while Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson faces limited fundraising and name recognition against structural headwinds. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,987Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5 percent for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s Fort Wayne-centered seat has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman’s 65 percent share in 2024, while Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson faces limited fundraising and name recognition against structural headwinds. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,987Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5 percent for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s Fort Wayne-centered seat has delivered consistent Republican margins, including Stutzman’s 65 percent share in 2024, while Democratic nominee Kelly Thompson faces limited fundraising and name recognition against structural headwinds. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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