Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and the party's 2024 general election margin exceeding 30 points. Steve Toth's March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing 55.8 percent of the vote, consolidated Republican support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced from the primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican nominees have consistently prevailed. The upcoming general election timeline and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$10,353 Vol.
$10,353 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
12%
$10,353 Vol.
$10,353 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,569 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$5,784 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and the party's 2024 general election margin exceeding 30 points. Steve Toth's March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing 55.8 percent of the vote, consolidated Republican support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced from the primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican nominees have consistently prevailed. The upcoming general election timeline and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,353Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and the party's 2024 general election margin exceeding 30 points. Steve Toth's March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing 55.8 percent of the vote, consolidated Republican support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced from the primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican nominees have consistently prevailed. The upcoming general election timeline and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,353Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating and the party's 2024 general election margin exceeding 30 points. Steve Toth's March 2026 primary victory over incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing 55.8 percent of the vote, consolidated Republican support ahead of the November general election. Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced from the primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican nominees have consistently prevailed. The upcoming general election timeline and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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