Texas's 2nd congressional district covers northern and northeastern Houston suburbs including The Woodlands and Spring, an area with a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed in her primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The 92% Republican implied probability in the market reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic path to victory, though late shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter outcomes in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$11,629 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$11,800 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district covers northern and northeastern Houston suburbs including The Woodlands and Spring, an area with a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed in her primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The 92% Republican implied probability in the market reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic path to victory, though late shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$23,429Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district covers northern and northeastern Houston suburbs including The Woodlands and Spring, an area with a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed in her primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The 92% Republican implied probability in the market reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic path to victory, though late shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter outcomes in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,429Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district covers northern and northeastern Houston suburbs including The Woodlands and Spring, an area with a consistent Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting. Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed in her primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The 92% Republican implied probability in the market reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic path to victory, though late shifts in national midterm dynamics, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments could still alter outcomes in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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