Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the candidate’s established record. The district carries a D+7 Partisan Voter Index, anchored in Albuquerque and surrounding Bernalillo County, where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by double digits. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Stansbury faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Didi Okpareke, with primary results and fundraising reports showing the incumbent’s strong resource advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNM-01 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NM-01 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$35,867 Vol.
$35,867 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$35,867 Vol.
$35,867 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$18,452 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$17,415 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the candidate’s established record. The district carries a D+7 Partisan Voter Index, anchored in Albuquerque and surrounding Bernalillo County, where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by double digits. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Stansbury faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Didi Okpareke, with primary results and fundraising reports showing the incumbent’s strong resource advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$35,867Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the candidate’s established record. The district carries a D+7 Partisan Voter Index, anchored in Albuquerque and surrounding Bernalillo County, where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by double digits. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Stansbury faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Didi Okpareke, with primary results and fundraising reports showing the incumbent’s strong resource advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,867Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and the candidate’s established record. The district carries a D+7 Partisan Voter Index, anchored in Albuquerque and surrounding Bernalillo County, where recent presidential results have favored Democrats by double digits. Forecasters including Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Stansbury faces limited opposition from Republican nominee Didi Okpareke, with primary results and fundraising reports showing the incumbent’s strong resource advantage. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, significant scandal, or sharp turnout shift could narrow the margin, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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