Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver maintains strong positioning in Missouri's 5th congressional district through established name recognition and support in the Kansas City urban core, even after the state's mid-decade redistricting added more rural Republican-leaning areas. Ongoing litigation over the new map's validity, including referendum challenges and court rulings, creates uncertainty that shapes trader assessments of the November general election matchup against Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Recent polling has shown Cleaver ahead, reinforcing the market's implied probability favoring Democratic retention of the seat amid questions about boundary finality and turnout dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
$19,289 Vol.
$19,289 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
20%
$19,289 Vol.
$19,289 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,436 Vol.
78%
Republican Party
$12,853 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver maintains strong positioning in Missouri's 5th congressional district through established name recognition and support in the Kansas City urban core, even after the state's mid-decade redistricting added more rural Republican-leaning areas. Ongoing litigation over the new map's validity, including referendum challenges and court rulings, creates uncertainty that shapes trader assessments of the November general election matchup against Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Recent polling has shown Cleaver ahead, reinforcing the market's implied probability favoring Democratic retention of the seat amid questions about boundary finality and turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$19,289Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver maintains strong positioning in Missouri's 5th congressional district through established name recognition and support in the Kansas City urban core, even after the state's mid-decade redistricting added more rural Republican-leaning areas. Ongoing litigation over the new map's validity, including referendum challenges and court rulings, creates uncertainty that shapes trader assessments of the November general election matchup against Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Recent polling has shown Cleaver ahead, reinforcing the market's implied probability favoring Democratic retention of the seat amid questions about boundary finality and turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,289Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver maintains strong positioning in Missouri's 5th congressional district through established name recognition and support in the Kansas City urban core, even after the state's mid-decade redistricting added more rural Republican-leaning areas. Ongoing litigation over the new map's validity, including referendum challenges and court rulings, creates uncertainty that shapes trader assessments of the November general election matchup against Republican nominee Rick Brattin. Recent polling has shown Cleaver ahead, reinforcing the market's implied probability favoring Democratic retention of the seat amid questions about boundary finality and turnout dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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