**Republican incumbent Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 7th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point presidential margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% odds. Fischbach advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require either a major national environment shift against the GOP or an unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns and the incumbent’s established support among rural and agricultural voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-07 House Election Winner
MN-07 House Election Winner
$24,259 Vol.
$24,259 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$24,259 Vol.
$24,259 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,265 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$17,994 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 7th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point presidential margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% odds. Fischbach advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require either a major national environment shift against the GOP or an unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns and the incumbent’s established support among rural and agricultural voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,259Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 7th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point presidential margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% odds. Fischbach advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require either a major national environment shift against the GOP or an unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns and the incumbent’s established support among rural and agricultural voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,259Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 7th congressional district for the November 3, 2026, general election.** The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 36-point presidential margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% odds. Fischbach advanced unopposed through the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Erik Osberg secured his party’s nomination. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic upset would require either a major national environment shift against the GOP or an unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched voting patterns and the incumbent’s established support among rural and agricultural voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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