Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic tilt, with analysts rating it Solid or Likely Democratic. This structural change, combined with the departure of prior representation and an open primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders such as Richard Pan and others, has positioned the party strongly for the November general election. Recent June 2 primary results show Democratic candidates advancing alongside independent Kevin Kiley, reflecting the district's voter base and historical patterns in similar California seats. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, while the Republican path remains narrower absent major shifts before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$22,690 Vol.
$22,690 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
9%
$22,690 Vol.
$22,690 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,799 Vol.
84%
Republican Party
$14,141 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic tilt, with analysts rating it Solid or Likely Democratic. This structural change, combined with the departure of prior representation and an open primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders such as Richard Pan and others, has positioned the party strongly for the November general election. Recent June 2 primary results show Democratic candidates advancing alongside independent Kevin Kiley, reflecting the district's voter base and historical patterns in similar California seats. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, while the Republican path remains narrower absent major shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$22,690Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic tilt, with analysts rating it Solid or Likely Democratic. This structural change, combined with the departure of prior representation and an open primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders such as Richard Pan and others, has positioned the party strongly for the November general election. Recent June 2 primary results show Democratic candidates advancing alongside independent Kevin Kiley, reflecting the district's voter base and historical patterns in similar California seats. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, while the Republican path remains narrower absent major shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,690Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th Congressional District toward a Democratic tilt, with analysts rating it Solid or Likely Democratic. This structural change, combined with the departure of prior representation and an open primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders such as Richard Pan and others, has positioned the party strongly for the November general election. Recent June 2 primary results show Democratic candidates advancing alongside independent Kevin Kiley, reflecting the district's voter base and historical patterns in similar California seats. Trader consensus at 83.5% for Democrats aligns with these factors, while the Republican path remains narrower absent major shifts before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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