Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee's 4th congressional district with a strong primary performance, while Victoria Broderick advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district's solid Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins for GOP candidates, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward DesJarlais. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or national conditions have kept probabilities stable. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, an unanticipated Democratic turnout surge, or a broader midterm wave favoring the opposition party.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$60,650 Vol.
$60,650 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
94%
Victoria Broderick (D)
5%
$60,650 Vol.
$60,650 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
$29,643 Vol.
94%
Victoria Broderick (D)
$31,007 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee's 4th congressional district with a strong primary performance, while Victoria Broderick advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district's solid Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins for GOP candidates, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward DesJarlais. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or national conditions have kept probabilities stable. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, an unanticipated Democratic turnout surge, or a broader midterm wave favoring the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$60,650Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee's 4th congressional district with a strong primary performance, while Victoria Broderick advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district's solid Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins for GOP candidates, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward DesJarlais. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or national conditions have kept probabilities stable. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, an unanticipated Democratic turnout surge, or a broader midterm wave favoring the opposition party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,650Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination for Tennessee's 4th congressional district with a strong primary performance, while Victoria Broderick advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district's solid Republican tilt, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins for GOP candidates, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward DesJarlais. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or national conditions have kept probabilities stable. Scenarios that could still narrow the gap include a late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, an unanticipated Democratic turnout surge, or a broader midterm wave favoring the opposition party.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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