Virginia's 5th congressional district carries a Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and favored the GOP nominee by double digits in the 2024 presidential and House races, establishing a structural advantage for incumbent John McGuire. McGuire secured the Republican nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic side by a similar margin. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A single internal poll from late July showed the matchup within the margin of error, yet the district's voting history and expert assessments sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera VA-05
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera VA-05
$65,770 Vol.
$65,770 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
85%
Partito Democratico
16%
$65,770 Vol.
$65,770 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$32,567 Vol.
85%
Partito Democratico
$33,203 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district carries a Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and favored the GOP nominee by double digits in the 2024 presidential and House races, establishing a structural advantage for incumbent John McGuire. McGuire secured the Republican nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic side by a similar margin. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A single internal poll from late July showed the matchup within the margin of error, yet the district's voting history and expert assessments sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$65,770Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district carries a Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and favored the GOP nominee by double digits in the 2024 presidential and House races, establishing a structural advantage for incumbent John McGuire. McGuire secured the Republican nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic side by a similar margin. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A single internal poll from late July showed the matchup within the margin of error, yet the district's voting history and expert assessments sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$65,770Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district carries a Republican partisan voter index of R+6 and favored the GOP nominee by double digits in the 2024 presidential and House races, establishing a structural advantage for incumbent John McGuire. McGuire secured the Republican nomination with 84% in the August 4 primary, while former Representative Tom Perriello won the Democratic side by a similar margin. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. A single internal poll from late July showed the matchup within the margin of error, yet the district's voting history and expert assessments sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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