Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a structural edge in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that he won with 57.3 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates have entered the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, yet none have emerged with significant fundraising or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party a 76.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in comparable districts and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-08 House Election Winner
WI-08 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
23%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,171 Vol.
76%
Democratic Party
$4,035 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a structural edge in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that he won with 57.3 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates have entered the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, yet none have emerged with significant fundraising or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party a 76.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in comparable districts and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$8,206Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a structural edge in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that he won with 57.3 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates have entered the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, yet none have emerged with significant fundraising or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party a 76.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in comparable districts and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,206Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a structural edge in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District, an R+8 seat that he won with 57.3 percent in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voter index and limited Democratic infrastructure. Multiple candidates have entered the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, yet none have emerged with significant fundraising or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party a 76.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical patterns in comparable districts and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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