Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s long tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, supported by limited Democratic fundraising and a May 2026 poll showing Grothman ahead of nominee Bradley Smith by roughly 22 points. The August primaries produced no surprises, with Grothman unopposed on the Republican side and Smith edging out his Democratic rival. A sustained national Democratic midterm surge, sharp deterioration in Grothman’s personal standing, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current advantage without major new developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-06 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
WI-06 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$36,012 Vol.
$36,012 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
6%
$36,012 Vol.
$36,012 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$19,640 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$16,372 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s long tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, supported by limited Democratic fundraising and a May 2026 poll showing Grothman ahead of nominee Bradley Smith by roughly 22 points. The August primaries produced no surprises, with Grothman unopposed on the Republican side and Smith edging out his Democratic rival.
A sustained national Democratic midterm surge, sharp deterioration in Grothman’s personal standing, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current advantage without major new developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,012Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s long tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, supported by limited Democratic fundraising and a May 2026 poll showing Grothman ahead of nominee Bradley Smith by roughly 22 points. The August primaries produced no surprises, with Grothman unopposed on the Republican side and Smith edging out his Democratic rival.
A sustained national Democratic midterm surge, sharp deterioration in Grothman’s personal standing, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current advantage without major new developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,012Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, and Grothman’s long tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus. Major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, supported by limited Democratic fundraising and a May 2026 poll showing Grothman ahead of nominee Bradley Smith by roughly 22 points. The August primaries produced no surprises, with Grothman unopposed on the Republican side and Smith edging out his Democratic rival. A sustained national Democratic midterm surge, sharp deterioration in Grothman’s personal standing, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely to overcome the current advantage without major new developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti