**Democratic traders hold a clear edge in the WI-03 House race at 70.5% implied probability.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces rematch challenger Rebecca Cooke, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary. Multiple 2026 polls, including a June FM3 survey sponsored by House Majority PAC, show Cooke ahead or tied in head-to-head matchups, with averages near even. The district’s narrow margins—Trump carried it by 1.5 points in 2024—combined with mixed favorability for Van Orden and broader national midterm dynamics have kept the contest rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with independent candidacies unlikely to alter the two-party outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$4,296 Vol.
71%
Republican Party
$2,073 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic traders hold a clear edge in the WI-03 House race at 70.5% implied probability.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces rematch challenger Rebecca Cooke, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary. Multiple 2026 polls, including a June FM3 survey sponsored by House Majority PAC, show Cooke ahead or tied in head-to-head matchups, with averages near even. The district’s narrow margins—Trump carried it by 1.5 points in 2024—combined with mixed favorability for Van Orden and broader national midterm dynamics have kept the contest rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with independent candidacies unlikely to alter the two-party outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,369Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic traders hold a clear edge in the WI-03 House race at 70.5% implied probability.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces rematch challenger Rebecca Cooke, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary. Multiple 2026 polls, including a June FM3 survey sponsored by House Majority PAC, show Cooke ahead or tied in head-to-head matchups, with averages near even. The district’s narrow margins—Trump carried it by 1.5 points in 2024—combined with mixed favorability for Van Orden and broader national midterm dynamics have kept the contest rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with independent candidacies unlikely to alter the two-party outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,369Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic traders hold a clear edge in the WI-03 House race at 70.5% implied probability.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden faces rematch challenger Rebecca Cooke, who secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary. Multiple 2026 polls, including a June FM3 survey sponsored by House Majority PAC, show Cooke ahead or tied in head-to-head matchups, with averages near even. The district’s narrow margins—Trump carried it by 1.5 points in 2024—combined with mixed favorability for Van Orden and broader national midterm dynamics have kept the contest rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with independent candidacies unlikely to alter the two-party outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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