**Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces no Republican opponent in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026 general election.** The June 2026 filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, leaving Pocan to win the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander by a wide margin before advancing unopposed by a major-party rival in the strongly Democratic district (D+21 PVI, anchored by Madison). This structural absence of competition, combined with Pocan’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent 70%+ Democratic margins in prior cycles, drives the 97.3% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The Republican Party line sits at 0.4% because no credible path exists for that outcome under current conditions. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require late developments such as a successful independent or write-in surge, Pocan’s withdrawal after nomination, or an unforeseen scandal—none of which have materialized. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in these verifiable filing and primary outcomes rather than speculating on low-probability disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
WI-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$102,238 Vol.
$102,238 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
97%
Partito Repubblicano
<1%
$102,238 Vol.
$102,238 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$62,131 Vol.
97%
Partito Repubblicano
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces no Republican opponent in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026 general election.** The June 2026 filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, leaving Pocan to win the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander by a wide margin before advancing unopposed by a major-party rival in the strongly Democratic district (D+21 PVI, anchored by Madison).
This structural absence of competition, combined with Pocan’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent 70%+ Democratic margins in prior cycles, drives the 97.3% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The Republican Party line sits at 0.4% because no credible path exists for that outcome under current conditions.
Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require late developments such as a successful independent or write-in surge, Pocan’s withdrawal after nomination, or an unforeseen scandal—none of which have materialized. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in these verifiable filing and primary outcomes rather than speculating on low-probability disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,238Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces no Republican opponent in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026 general election.** The June 2026 filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, leaving Pocan to win the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander by a wide margin before advancing unopposed by a major-party rival in the strongly Democratic district (D+21 PVI, anchored by Madison).
This structural absence of competition, combined with Pocan’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent 70%+ Democratic margins in prior cycles, drives the 97.3% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The Republican Party line sits at 0.4% because no credible path exists for that outcome under current conditions.
Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require late developments such as a successful independent or write-in surge, Pocan’s withdrawal after nomination, or an unforeseen scandal—none of which have materialized. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in these verifiable filing and primary outcomes rather than speculating on low-probability disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,238Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan faces no Republican opponent in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District for the November 3, 2026 general election.** The June 2026 filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, leaving Pocan to win the August 11 Democratic primary against challenger Douglas Alexander by a wide margin before advancing unopposed by a major-party rival in the strongly Democratic district (D+21 PVI, anchored by Madison). This structural absence of competition, combined with Pocan’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent 70%+ Democratic margins in prior cycles, drives the 97.3% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The Republican Party line sits at 0.4% because no credible path exists for that outcome under current conditions. Realistic challenges remain narrow and would require late developments such as a successful independent or write-in surge, Pocan’s withdrawal after nomination, or an unforeseen scandal—none of which have materialized. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in these verifiable filing and primary outcomes rather than speculating on low-probability disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti