Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s historical Republican lean despite redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville. Steil secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrat Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won a multi-candidate primary, launched his first general-election ad on September 8 emphasizing his working-class background and criticism of special-interest influence. Recent polling shows the race within a few points, yet trader pricing incorporates Steil’s incumbency, prior 54 percent victory in 2024, and the district’s baseline Republican tilt while acknowledging Berman’s potential to close the gap through targeted messaging on economic issues.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
$10,042 Vol.
$10,042 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
65%
Mitchell Berman (D)
34%
$10,042 Vol.
$10,042 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Bryan Steil (R)
$5,341 Vol.
65%
Mitchell Berman (D)
$4,701 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s historical Republican lean despite redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville. Steil secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrat Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won a multi-candidate primary, launched his first general-election ad on September 8 emphasizing his working-class background and criticism of special-interest influence. Recent polling shows the race within a few points, yet trader pricing incorporates Steil’s incumbency, prior 54 percent victory in 2024, and the district’s baseline Republican tilt while acknowledging Berman’s potential to close the gap through targeted messaging on economic issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$10,042Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s historical Republican lean despite redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville. Steil secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrat Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won a multi-candidate primary, launched his first general-election ad on September 8 emphasizing his working-class background and criticism of special-interest influence. Recent polling shows the race within a few points, yet trader pricing incorporates Steil’s incumbency, prior 54 percent victory in 2024, and the district’s baseline Republican tilt while acknowledging Berman’s potential to close the gap through targeted messaging on economic issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,042Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s historical Republican lean despite redistricting that added Democratic-leaning areas around Beloit and Janesville. Steil secured his party’s nomination without opposition in the August 11 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Democrat Mitchell Berman, an ER nurse who won a multi-candidate primary, launched his first general-election ad on September 8 emphasizing his working-class background and criticism of special-interest influence. Recent polling shows the race within a few points, yet trader pricing incorporates Steil’s incumbency, prior 54 percent victory in 2024, and the district’s baseline Republican tilt while acknowledging Berman’s potential to close the gap through targeted messaging on economic issues.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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