Elaine Pelino holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor due to her stronger polling among likely GOP voters and explicit appeal to conservative and MAGA-aligned voters in a state where Republicans have not won statewide office since 2006. A June University of New Hampshire survey showed her leading Aaron Guckian 42% to 17% among likely primary participants, with nearly 40% undecided. The August 12 debate underscored ideological differences, with Pelino emphasizing stricter immigration enforcement and accountability measures while Guckian positioned himself as a centrist endorsed by the state party. Guckian’s prior role as lieutenant governor nominee and local government experience provide some baseline support, yet trader consensus reflects Pelino’s edge heading into the September 9 contest. Minor candidates such as Robert Raimondo register negligible support in available data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElaine Pelino 85%
Aaron Guckian 11.5%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
85%

Aaron Guckian
12%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 85%
Aaron Guckian 11.5%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
85%

Aaron Guckian
12%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino holds a commanding position in the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor due to her stronger polling among likely GOP voters and explicit appeal to conservative and MAGA-aligned voters in a state where Republicans have not won statewide office since 2006. A June University of New Hampshire survey showed her leading Aaron Guckian 42% to 17% among likely primary participants, with nearly 40% undecided. The August 12 debate underscored ideological differences, with Pelino emphasizing stricter immigration enforcement and accountability measures while Guckian positioned himself as a centrist endorsed by the state party. Guckian’s prior role as lieutenant governor nominee and local government experience provide some baseline support, yet trader consensus reflects Pelino’s edge heading into the September 9 contest. Minor candidates such as Robert Raimondo register negligible support in available data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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