Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district carries an R+11 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, positioning the party nominee as the clear favorite in the open-seat 2026 contest. Incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates, including his son-in-law Michael Alfonso, who benefits from established party support ahead of the August 11 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the rural, northern Wisconsin district. With the general election still months away, traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent, consistent with historical performance and the absence of major Democratic challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera WI-07
$19,828 Vol.
$19,828 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
18%
$19,828 Vol.
$19,828 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
83%
Partito Democratico
18%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district carries an R+11 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, positioning the party nominee as the clear favorite in the open-seat 2026 contest. Incumbent Tom Tiffany’s decision to run for governor has drawn multiple Republican primary candidates, including his son-in-law Michael Alfonso, who benefits from established party support ahead of the August 11 primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the rural, northern Wisconsin district. With the general election still months away, traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent, consistent with historical performance and the absence of major Democratic challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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