Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped Kansas’s 3rd District in 2018 and won reelection in 2024 by an 11-point margin, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest. The suburban Kansas City seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index, and nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid or Likely Democratic. Republican primary contenders have drawn modest fundraising and limited national support, consistent with the party’s decision to largely de-emphasize the district in the prior cycle. With filing closed June 1 and no major shifts in voter registration or polling aggregates reported since the 2024 results, traders price the Democratic nominee as a strong favorite for the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-03 House Election Winner
$16,525 Vol.
$16,525 Vol.
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$16,525 Vol.
$16,525 Vol.
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped Kansas’s 3rd District in 2018 and won reelection in 2024 by an 11-point margin, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest. The suburban Kansas City seat carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index, and nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Solid or Likely Democratic. Republican primary contenders have drawn modest fundraising and limited national support, consistent with the party’s decision to largely de-emphasize the district in the prior cycle. With filing closed June 1 and no major shifts in voter registration or polling aggregates reported since the 2024 results, traders price the Democratic nominee as a strong favorite for the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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