Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, benefits from a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a Solid D rating from forecasters, positioning her party for an 88.5% implied probability in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s suburban Kansas City electorate has supported Davids through multiple reelection cycles, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent voting. With the August 4 Republican primary featuring limited-name challengers and the general election still months away, traders see few immediate catalysts for a shift. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major redistricting changes further anchor expectations around the current Democratic edge, though primary results or late-cycle national dynamics could still alter the competitive landscape before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-03 House Election Winner
KS-03 House Election Winner
$20,550 Vol.
$20,550 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
13%
$20,550 Vol.
$20,550 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$6,035 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$14,516 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, benefits from a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a Solid D rating from forecasters, positioning her party for an 88.5% implied probability in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s suburban Kansas City electorate has supported Davids through multiple reelection cycles, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent voting. With the August 4 Republican primary featuring limited-name challengers and the general election still months away, traders see few immediate catalysts for a shift. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major redistricting changes further anchor expectations around the current Democratic edge, though primary results or late-cycle national dynamics could still alter the competitive landscape before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$20,550Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, benefits from a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a Solid D rating from forecasters, positioning her party for an 88.5% implied probability in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s suburban Kansas City electorate has supported Davids through multiple reelection cycles, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent voting. With the August 4 Republican primary featuring limited-name challengers and the general election still months away, traders see few immediate catalysts for a shift. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major redistricting changes further anchor expectations around the current Democratic edge, though primary results or late-cycle national dynamics could still alter the competitive landscape before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,550Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sharice Davids, the Democratic incumbent in Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, benefits from a D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and a Solid D rating from forecasters, positioning her party for an 88.5% implied probability in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s suburban Kansas City electorate has supported Davids through multiple reelection cycles, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent voting. With the August 4 Republican primary featuring limited-name challengers and the general election still months away, traders see few immediate catalysts for a shift. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of major redistricting changes further anchor expectations around the current Democratic edge, though primary results or late-cycle national dynamics could still alter the competitive landscape before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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