Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 2026 contest for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat. Booker’s unopposed Democratic primary and long tenure since 2013, combined with the state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republicans have not won a New Jersey Senate race since 1972, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic. Murphy’s June primary victory with roughly one-third of the vote has not altered the broader structural outlook. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national political realignments, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts, though such changes remain uncommon in this environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$19,287 Vol.
$19,287 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
94%
Repubblicano
5%
$19,287 Vol.
$19,287 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$9,983 Vol.
94%
Repubblicano
$9,305 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 2026 contest for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat. Booker’s unopposed Democratic primary and long tenure since 2013, combined with the state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republicans have not won a New Jersey Senate race since 1972, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic. Murphy’s June primary victory with roughly one-third of the vote has not altered the broader structural outlook. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national political realignments, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts, though such changes remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$19,287Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 2026 contest for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat. Booker’s unopposed Democratic primary and long tenure since 2013, combined with the state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republicans have not won a New Jersey Senate race since 1972, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic. Murphy’s June primary victory with roughly one-third of the vote has not altered the broader structural outlook. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national political realignments, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts, though such changes remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$19,287Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 2026 contest for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat. Booker’s unopposed Democratic primary and long tenure since 2013, combined with the state’s consistent Democratic registration edge and voting patterns, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republicans have not won a New Jersey Senate race since 1972, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solidly Democratic. Murphy’s June primary victory with roughly one-third of the vote has not altered the broader structural outlook. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-cycle national political realignments, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts, though such changes remain uncommon in this environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti