Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 110-130 million votes, mirroring historical midterm benchmarks like 2022's roughly 108 million and 2018's 116 million, with no single outcome exceeding 24% amid early-cycle uncertainty. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin on April 8 showed Democratic overperformance and elevated turnout, signaling potential enthusiasm from the minority party under Republican White House and congressional control, while March primary surges reinforced this trend. A January generic ballot poll gave Democrats a 48-42% edge, boosting prospects for higher totals, but economic conditions, battleground competitiveness, and summer primaries could widen the spread as voter mobilization ramps up toward November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 23%
125-130m 21%
110-115m 18%
120-125m 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
23%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
22%
130m+
11%
115-120m 23%
125-130m 21%
110-115m 18%
120-125m 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
5%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
8%
90-95m
$831 Vol.
<1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
4%
100-105m
$631 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$431 Vol.
13%
110-115m
$339 Vol.
18%
115-120m
$1,020 Vol.
23%
120-125m
$371 Vol.
13%
125-130m
$1,157 Vol.
22%
130m+
$245 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 110-130 million votes, mirroring historical midterm benchmarks like 2022's roughly 108 million and 2018's 116 million, with no single outcome exceeding 24% amid early-cycle uncertainty. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin on April 8 showed Democratic overperformance and elevated turnout, signaling potential enthusiasm from the minority party under Republican White House and congressional control, while March primary surges reinforced this trend. A January generic ballot poll gave Democrats a 48-42% edge, boosting prospects for higher totals, but economic conditions, battleground competitiveness, and summer primaries could widen the spread as voter mobilization ramps up toward November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,031Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 110-130 million votes, mirroring historical midterm benchmarks like 2022's roughly 108 million and 2018's 116 million, with no single outcome exceeding 24% amid early-cycle uncertainty. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin on April 8 showed Democratic overperformance and elevated turnout, signaling potential enthusiasm from the minority party under Republican White House and congressional control, while March primary surges reinforced this trend. A January generic ballot poll gave Democrats a 48-42% edge, boosting prospects for higher totals, but economic conditions, battleground competitiveness, and summer primaries could widen the spread as voter mobilization ramps up toward November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,031Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 110-130 million votes, mirroring historical midterm benchmarks like 2022's roughly 108 million and 2018's 116 million, with no single outcome exceeding 24% amid early-cycle uncertainty. Recent special elections in Georgia and Wisconsin on April 8 showed Democratic overperformance and elevated turnout, signaling potential enthusiasm from the minority party under Republican White House and congressional control, while March primary surges reinforced this trend. A January generic ballot poll gave Democrats a 48-42% edge, boosting prospects for higher totals, but economic conditions, battleground competitiveness, and summer primaries could widen the spread as voter mobilization ramps up toward November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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