Heightened partisan mobilization amid President Trump’s low approval ratings and Democratic advantages on the generic ballot and in special elections has elevated expectations for 2026 House turnout above the 2022 level of roughly 108 million votes. Record Democratic primary participation, including surges in red districts and among Black voters responding to redistricting, combined with Republican efforts to re-engage low-propensity 2024 supporters through data-driven outreach, keeps the market clustered tightly around 115-125 million ballots. Expanded mail and early voting options, plus modest youth registration gains, provide a structural floor, while economic discontent and competitive House districts could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist through November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
125-130m 16%
130m+ 12.5%
$25,604 Vol.
$25,604 Vol.
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
8%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
16%
130m+
10%
115-120m 20%
120-125m 19%
125-130m 16%
130m+ 12.5%
$25,604 Vol.
$25,604 Vol.
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
8%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
16%
130m+
10%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Heightened partisan mobilization amid President Trump’s low approval ratings and Democratic advantages on the generic ballot and in special elections has elevated expectations for 2026 House turnout above the 2022 level of roughly 108 million votes. Record Democratic primary participation, including surges in red districts and among Black voters responding to redistricting, combined with Republican efforts to re-engage low-propensity 2024 supporters through data-driven outreach, keeps the market clustered tightly around 115-125 million ballots. Expanded mail and early voting options, plus modest youth registration gains, provide a structural floor, while economic discontent and competitive House districts could widen participation if enthusiasm gaps persist through November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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