Voter turnout projections for the 2026 House midterms show tight clustering among the 115-130 million vote ranges, reflecting uncertainty over participation levels in the first national contest following the 2024 presidential election. Key dynamics include varying party mobilization efforts, economic sentiment, and the nationalization of key races that could either boost or suppress engagement relative to recent cycles. Historical midterm patterns typically produce lower totals than presidential years, though elevated polarization and issue salience have sustained higher baselines in recent elections. Primary contests, candidate announcements, and early polling on voter enthusiasm ahead of the November general election represent scheduled developments that could shift consensus if they signal stronger grassroots activity or widespread apathy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato130m+ 44%
120-125m 40%
125-130m 15%
115-120m 14%
<85m
10%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
28%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
32%
120-125m
40%
125-130m
20%
130m+
26%
130m+ 44%
120-125m 40%
125-130m 15%
115-120m 14%
<85m
10%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
28%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
32%
120-125m
40%
125-130m
20%
130m+
26%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Voter turnout projections for the 2026 House midterms show tight clustering among the 115-130 million vote ranges, reflecting uncertainty over participation levels in the first national contest following the 2024 presidential election. Key dynamics include varying party mobilization efforts, economic sentiment, and the nationalization of key races that could either boost or suppress engagement relative to recent cycles. Historical midterm patterns typically produce lower totals than presidential years, though elevated polarization and issue salience have sustained higher baselines in recent elections. Primary contests, candidate announcements, and early polling on voter enthusiasm ahead of the November general election represent scheduled developments that could shift consensus if they signal stronger grassroots activity or widespread apathy.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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