Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4 Republican primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election for Kansas’s 4th congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Estes’s long tenure since 2017, and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum. Primary turnout and candidate filings underscore minimal competitive pressure on the Republican side. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from major national economic or political realignments, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher Democratic turnout than historical patterns, though no such developments are evident in current reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKS-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
KS-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$60,963 Vol.
$60,963 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
93%
Partito Democratico
6%
$60,963 Vol.
$60,963 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$35,588 Vol.
93%
Partito Democratico
$25,375 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4 Republican primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election for Kansas’s 4th congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Estes’s long tenure since 2017, and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum. Primary turnout and candidate filings underscore minimal competitive pressure on the Republican side. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from major national economic or political realignments, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher Democratic turnout than historical patterns, though no such developments are evident in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$60,963Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4 Republican primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election for Kansas’s 4th congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Estes’s long tenure since 2017, and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum. Primary turnout and candidate filings underscore minimal competitive pressure on the Republican side. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from major national economic or political realignments, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher Democratic turnout than historical patterns, though no such developments are evident in current reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,963Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4 Republican primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote, facing Democrat Katy Tyndell in the November general election for Kansas’s 4th congressional district. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, DDHQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean, Estes’s long tenure since 2017, and limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum. Primary turnout and candidate filings underscore minimal competitive pressure on the Republican side. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Republicans aligns with these structural factors. Shifts could occur from major national economic or political realignments, an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher Democratic turnout than historical patterns, though no such developments are evident in current reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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