Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCT-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
CT-04 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
96%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$21,773 Vol.
96%
Partito Repubblicano
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$47,340Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,340Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican nominee Michael Goldstein and independent Damon Cerreta in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and Kamala Harris’s 23-point margin in 2024, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party. Himes, first elected in 2008, advanced unopposed after the August 11 Democratic primary was canceled, while Goldstein secured the Republican nomination with roughly 74 percent in his primary. Himes maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1 million compared with Goldstein’s low-six-figure total. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter preferences or a major unforeseen event affecting the incumbent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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