Republican Ryan Mackenzie captured Pennsylvania’s 7th District in 2024 by roughly one point after ousting longtime Democratic incumbent Susan Wild, leaving the Lehigh Valley seat among the nation’s most competitive. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and Senator Bernie Sanders, secured his party’s nomination in the May primary. Multiple forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing midterm dynamics that historically disadvantage the president’s party, subdued Republican turnout expectations, and the district’s balanced partisan composition. Traders price a Democratic victory at 80 percent, reflecting these structural factors and limited recent polling that has not altered the competitive baseline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
$28,624 Vol.
$28,624 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
21%
$28,624 Vol.
$28,624 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$23,789 Vol.
80%
Republican Party
$4,834 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ryan Mackenzie captured Pennsylvania’s 7th District in 2024 by roughly one point after ousting longtime Democratic incumbent Susan Wild, leaving the Lehigh Valley seat among the nation’s most competitive. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and Senator Bernie Sanders, secured his party’s nomination in the May primary. Multiple forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing midterm dynamics that historically disadvantage the president’s party, subdued Republican turnout expectations, and the district’s balanced partisan composition. Traders price a Democratic victory at 80 percent, reflecting these structural factors and limited recent polling that has not altered the competitive baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$28,624Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ryan Mackenzie captured Pennsylvania’s 7th District in 2024 by roughly one point after ousting longtime Democratic incumbent Susan Wild, leaving the Lehigh Valley seat among the nation’s most competitive. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and Senator Bernie Sanders, secured his party’s nomination in the May primary. Multiple forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing midterm dynamics that historically disadvantage the president’s party, subdued Republican turnout expectations, and the district’s balanced partisan composition. Traders price a Democratic victory at 80 percent, reflecting these structural factors and limited recent polling that has not altered the competitive baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,624Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ryan Mackenzie captured Pennsylvania’s 7th District in 2024 by roughly one point after ousting longtime Democratic incumbent Susan Wild, leaving the Lehigh Valley seat among the nation’s most competitive. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader backed by Governor Josh Shapiro and Senator Bernie Sanders, secured his party’s nomination in the May primary. Multiple forecasters rate the November contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing midterm dynamics that historically disadvantage the president’s party, subdued Republican turnout expectations, and the district’s balanced partisan composition. Traders price a Democratic victory at 80 percent, reflecting these structural factors and limited recent polling that has not altered the competitive baseline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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