The district's R+5 partisan lean and open-seat status after incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement position Republican nominee Aaron Flint as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election. Flint secured the nomination with a clear primary majority and endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Sam Forstag advanced on the other side after a competitive primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles where Republicans carried presidential and House contests by 7–11 points. National midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting introduce some uncertainty, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns Republicans a solid but not overwhelming edge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$11,119 Vol.
$11,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
62%
Democratic Party
38%
$11,119 Vol.
$11,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,168 Vol.
62%
Democratic Party
$4,952 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+5 partisan lean and open-seat status after incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement position Republican nominee Aaron Flint as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election. Flint secured the nomination with a clear primary majority and endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Sam Forstag advanced on the other side after a competitive primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles where Republicans carried presidential and House contests by 7–11 points. National midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting introduce some uncertainty, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns Republicans a solid but not overwhelming edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$11,119Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's R+5 partisan lean and open-seat status after incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement position Republican nominee Aaron Flint as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election. Flint secured the nomination with a clear primary majority and endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Sam Forstag advanced on the other side after a competitive primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles where Republicans carried presidential and House contests by 7–11 points. National midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting introduce some uncertainty, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns Republicans a solid but not overwhelming edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,119Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+5 partisan lean and open-seat status after incumbent Ryan Zinke's retirement position Republican nominee Aaron Flint as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election. Flint secured the nomination with a clear primary majority and endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Sam Forstag advanced on the other side after a competitive primary. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns in recent cycles where Republicans carried presidential and House contests by 7–11 points. National midterm dynamics and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting introduce some uncertainty, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns Republicans a solid but not overwhelming edge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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