Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford advances automatically after his primary was canceled, positioning him strongly in Nevada’s 4th District ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voting index and favored Democrats by roughly two points in 2024, supporting trader consensus that favors the Democratic nominee at 88.5 percent. Three Republicans compete in their June 9 primary, but the district’s modest Democratic lean and Horsford’s incumbency create significant structural barriers for the eventual GOP challenger. No major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$827 Vol.
90%
Republican Party
$605 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford advances automatically after his primary was canceled, positioning him strongly in Nevada’s 4th District ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voting index and favored Democrats by roughly two points in 2024, supporting trader consensus that favors the Democratic nominee at 88.5 percent. Three Republicans compete in their June 9 primary, but the district’s modest Democratic lean and Horsford’s incumbency create significant structural barriers for the eventual GOP challenger. No major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$1,432Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford advances automatically after his primary was canceled, positioning him strongly in Nevada’s 4th District ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voting index and favored Democrats by roughly two points in 2024, supporting trader consensus that favors the Democratic nominee at 88.5 percent. Three Republicans compete in their June 9 primary, but the district’s modest Democratic lean and Horsford’s incumbency create significant structural barriers for the eventual GOP challenger. No major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,432Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford advances automatically after his primary was canceled, positioning him strongly in Nevada’s 4th District ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voting index and favored Democrats by roughly two points in 2024, supporting trader consensus that favors the Democratic nominee at 88.5 percent. Three Republicans compete in their June 9 primary, but the district’s modest Democratic lean and Horsford’s incumbency create significant structural barriers for the eventual GOP challenger. No major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered this outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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